Alfa Romeo wanted to sell 75,000 to 100,000 Giulias globally, but that didn't work out for them because they only manage to sell around 18,908 Giulias in Europe. That's because there wasn't a wagon/hatchback option that's so popular there and abroad. The Stelvio should fill in that gap, but it may not be enough to reach the 170,000 sales goal.
We'll just have to see I suppose.
Their target for EMEA regions(Europe-Middle East-Africa) is about 40% total sales once it's launched globally(target for 2018-19 when is launched globally and the network is renovated/expanded in all markets), so about 30-40.000/years cars in those markets which is about 2.500-3.300/month in Europe,Middle East and Africa, and in the last few months they sold about 2.500 cars/month in EU+Efta* countries which is a part of EMEA regions.
*Efta countries: Switzerland,Norway,Iceland,Lichtenstein
Giulia sales (EU+Efta)**
January 2.038
February 1.939
March 2.737
April 2.096
in May there's a prediction of almost 3.000
**sales data from 29 of the 32 countries of EU+Efta
They need time in order to gain contracts for fleet sales, premium D segment in Europe has 70% fleet sales, for example may 2017 was the first month in Italy with important fleet sales, a year after the launch, and the effect was important as almost doubled April 2017 sales
Giulia sales in Italy
January 793
February 786
March 916
April 728
May 1.374
Giulia/Stelvio sales in Italy
January 793
February 957
March 1.359
April 1.341
May 2.309
Giulia US sales
January 70
February 412
March 484
April 634
May 883
deliveries in China started in May, which is one of the most important markets for the model, but Giulia isn't yet in commerce in various other markets like Japan,Korea,Russia,Brazil etc. and they plan to launch the model in all those markets and other between Q3/2017(Japan) and Q2/2018(Brazil)
Marchionne's prediction of 230.000 combined sales, Alfa(170.000) and Maserati(60.000) for 2017 in Q1 2017 FCA results presentation is extremely realistic, and they considered the orders, the effect of Stelvio, the new markets, the expansion/renovation of the dealer network, the new markets effect and seasonality of the sales.